Hi Everyone
Thank you for all your interest and welcome to the Perfect Portfolio Update section. Most of you have followed me on ShareChat and are aware of the leading-edge platform we are using with Darwinex. I have recently opened 2 trading strategies or "Darwins" with Darwinex, which I named the Perfect Stocks Portfolio (QSH) and the Perfect Aggressive Portfolio (QAJ). Both were created for trading in the TOP 250 largest companies on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq.
The (QAJ) Darwin has a slightly more aggressive approach than the balanced approach of the QSH Darwin. I am excited that both these were created in the last 2 weeks, being our first 2 flagship-Darwins for the rest to follow. Both of them have less than 9 trading days behind them and have already shown positive returns. PSP showing +2,69% return and PAP showing +4,48% over just 5 trading days. Both had the same positions in GILD and ATVI, but the PAP managed to acquire more NEM at a very good entry price. I will go into more detail about these trades in a later post.
As those of you know, that followed the Next Level Share Selection Program, that shares get selected by meeting a whole lot of criteria before being selected to enter into a trade. The positions we have in both portfolios are fundamentally and technically spot-on for meeting all the criteria and are suitable for longer timeframes.
Both portfolios are not yet open for the public to invest in. Darwinex needs at least a 31-day track record to assign a VaR (Value at Risk) rating to each Investment Strategy. (This could be seen at the Top right of each of the screenshots below) There are also many other metrics by which you can compare to each Darwin which will become available when we are open for investment. Although Darwin traders are limited in the amount of risk we can take with our Darwins, the Investors have the option to earn 3x the return by increasing their exposure through our platform at Darwinex.


For now, my main focus will be on maximizing returns for each portfolio. As some of you already know, I have sworn to eat my Hat in the 3-month challenge on ShareChat and I have committed to the same challenge this time around, except it will be 3 challenges and they are somewhat harder. I did post this on Sharechat and re-posted it on our Forum here and below is the quote from that post. "So, once again I am willing to eat my hat (or any Veil creation) if one of the following does not happen. If one of my Darwins vs. the 2800 Darwins does not make the Top50 in earnings after 3 months, one of my Darwins does not make the Top5 in earnings after 6 months, or if one of my Darwins is not Number 1 in earnings after one year.......I will eat a whole Hat...I promise. I know it's a bold statement and might seem cocky, but if I am not Bold, as with the 3 months challenge......I set myself up for failure......and besides, who doesn't want to see someone lose and eat their hat (or something really veil)!" I have since realized that there are 5200 Darwins on Darwinex against which I will compete, so it will be slightly harder. I would have to finish in the Top 1% of returns by the end of 3 months (end of August), and in the Top 0,1% of Darwins after 6 months, and ....... yeah ok..... I have this one ready for consumption.

A R60 white Mafia Hat, that I will probably never use again, and worth eating! Or maybe I'll go for the fermented Fish, Surstromning, or here. (Video is not for the faint-hearted) Darwinex holds the largest competition in the world for Traders by putting up 6 Million Euro's every month of their own money for the Top 80 traders to manage over a 6 month period. The traders get 15% of the profits made over this period. This competition has now attracted nearly 3000 of the best traders in the world, competing to manage these funds. So this challenge will be right up there with......well nothing......this should be the ultimate challenge in investment or trading.......... or it will put a sock (Hat/Fish) in my mouth. So for those that think I won't be able to do it, in any of the 3 months, 6 months, or 12-month challenge, please post in the Forum, which one (or all 3) you select, and if I succeed, you will have to eat a hat or fermented fish. Either way, there will be entertainment after each period.... It is still early days, but I know what this program can do (I work with it every day), and I have a feeling that the Aggressive Portfolio should come through for me in the end, but please bet against it.......... I dare ya! It will inspire me even more. For all those that have joined and are supporting, thank you. It has been very long hours over the past 4 months (especially the last 3 weeks) to get where we are, but it's all worth it. Please keep an eye out for the latest updates on the Forum. Trade safe Regards Quintin (Pilot)
Hi Everyone
After Monday's update, both our Darwins have improved, especially the Aggressive Portfolio, improving from 4,48% to 18,69%. This was largely attributed to the purchase of NEM (Largest Goldmining Company in the World), which traded at $52-80 for only a couple of minutes at the open on the 5th of June, and was added to the Aggressive Portfolio through a limit order. This has since attributed to 11,7% of the returns. See the images below.
Both portfolios have the best stocks selected by the program currently with 2x defensive Healthcare stocks (GILD and BIIB), 1x Online Gaming Stock (ATVI), and Gold mining (NEM -only on the Aggressive portfolio), and I am comfortable with the positions as they stand. These positions make complete sense given the part of the market cycle we are in, as well as Covid-19 related influences.
Those that wish to follow future updates on this topic can simply select the "Follow Post" button on the right-hand side and you will receive an alert when new updates are posted.
It is obviously early days, so let's give it some more time to really show how good the program is. Remember to select the "Follow Post" button on the top right should you wish to be notified of future updates.
If you have any questions please contact me and I will answer them a.s.a.p, and post them on the FAQ page.
Regards and keep safe
Quintin
Hi Everyone
Getting the Darwins ready for Investment has taken a little longer than initially expected.
It was expected to be ready after 31 days, but there are also a certain amount of trades that need to happen for Darwinex to have enough data for the Darwin to be registered.
Because my Portfolios do not entail a lot of trading, but rather holding in longer time-frames (Similar the Hedge Funds), the starting date for the Perfect Stocks Portfolio needs to be extended.
I have increased the number of trades I usually do to get the Darwins ready for investment. The Aggressive Portfolio does trade more often than usual and will be ready by Friday 3 July (on American Independence Day).
With the Perfect Stocks Portfolio, I have only managed to do half of the trades necessary for creating the Darwin. I expect this one to be ready by mid to end of July.
In doing the extra trades I needed to trade in shorter time-frames. The extra trades has caused a slight negative effect on the performance for the first month on both portfolios.
Another factor that has negatively affected both Darwins, is the minimum trade size for stocks on the S&P500. Both accounts started with around $1000 and with some shares you can only purchase a minimum amount of $1500 (Which is 150% exposure in one share). This was the Case with Biogen, where 5 shares were the minimum amount to trade @ $290.
With the current account, I am forced to only have 2-5 positions and I am overexposed with about all the shares. Trading with such large chunks of the portfolio is definitely not ideal and is causing much more volatility than would normally be the case. Normally there would be between 8-15 positions at any given time, and with some short positions to limit downside corrections.
For this reason both portfolios had larger exposures than normal. With the unexpected large 5,5% drop in the S&P on the 11th of June, both portfolios were hard hit because they had even more exposure added about halfway through this drop (as I had open orders about 2% below the opening levels). This caused overexposure in both portfolios, and I had to close positions at a loss.
Both have done well, but the aggressive portfolio has a short position in the financial sector, which helped overall.
For now, the portfolios will continue to have large exposures in certain shares, as it is unavoidable. I also need to accommodate more diversification until our balance increases to allow smaller positions in relation to the portfolio size. After today's close, it looks like the Perfect Aggressive Portfolio will end with a 2% growth (1,77% loss currently) for the first month. Below you will see we have 3 more days to go before the Darwin will be active.
Below you will see 7 trades were done, of which 5 were profitable trades (71,43%).
As mentioned 2 shares needed to be closed because of overexposure on the 11 and 12 of June, which was a setback, but should not happen in the future. We needed to do more trades to get enough experience by 3 July.
Both portfolios have positions in the right sectors and these positions have improved to show even higher returns in the weeks to come. I am expecting an improved performance over the next few weeks because of this.
The Aggressive Portfolio currently has 6 positions of which one is short in the Financial sector. Most long positions are near support levels and some near long term support levels.
I will announce on Friday morning the code for the Darwin I created for the Perfect Aggressive Portfolio. Hopefully, I will get the PAP short name. For those that want to invest on Friday, will be able to do so for the minimum amount of $200.
I will keep the updates coming more regularly as it becomes active and everyone will be able to view it on the Darwinex platform from Friday.
Regards
Quintin
Just a quick update on our Perfect Aggressive Portfolio which has gained enough experience with yesterdays close to receiving ratings on the 12 Darwinex Investment metrics.
We received pretty impressive marks to start with, although it has not been the best of starts to our first month. The Portfolio received 4 marks higher than 9/10 and 6,8/10 being our lowest score before having investors or the experience needed.
The first metric (Experience or Ex), we would need to do quite a few more trades over the next 12 months. But this will increase over time.
The last metric (Capacity or Cp) measures if the DARWIN’s percentage performance falls as its number of investors grows. The higher the score, the more capital the DARWIN should be able to handle without its returns being affected by the divergence.
From tomorrow we should start getting investors on board, so Darwinex can measure this metric.
We have completed 30 of the 31 days needed to create our Darwin, and tomorrow we will be able to create our Darwin for the public to allocate funds to it.
Our returns after 30 days are 8,95%, which is 11th position out of 5000+ Darwin Strategies and a very competitive start to our first active Darwin.
I will post tomorrow to update on the short name for the Perfect Aggressive Portfolio. Hopefully PAP.
Regards
Q
Morning and a quick update
Our first Darwin (QAJ) has been registered this morning. It will take one more trading day for it to be available for investors and it should be ready on Monday 6 July.
For those that want to invest in our Darwins, or that would want to monitor our progress, can create an account using this link. (There are no charges)
For more detail on investing in our Darwins see this post.
Awesome. Looking forward to it
Hi Everyone
During the last month, I focused on getting the first two trading strategies (Darwins) listed on the Darwinex platform. I started trading the Perfect Stocks Portfolio and the Perfect Aggressive Portfolio since 25 and 29 May respectively. 31 days needed to pass and a certain amount of trades needed to be done for the Strategies to get listed. It has been a stretch to do all the required trades to get listed, but I managed to achieve this with the Aggressive Portfolio, as this Portfolio does trade more often than the Balanced approach of the Stocks Portfolio.
I have created the Darwin yesterday and it will be listed on the Darwinex platform under the QAJ ticker number on Monday 6 July.
So how did all the strategies on Darwinex do, and how did the QAJ Darwin (Perfect Aggressive Portfolio) compare to them? Well, there are 5343 listed Darwins of which 4132 have actively traded during June 2020. All of them competed for the 6 000 000 Euro asset allocation by Darwinex in June. About 20% of these, (800+ Darwins) managed to make positive returns, with 12,06% being the highest performer over the last 30 days. QAJ would be in 10th position currently among 4132 Darwins for returns over the last month. That is a pretty impressive start for the first month and over time we should see QAJ and our other Darwins continue to the Top spot and then move further away from all the other Strategies.
For my first of 3 challenges, I am still vowing to eat my hat or something Veil if one of my Darwins does not finish in the Top50 (Top 1,2%) after 3 months, in the Top5 (Top 0,1%) after 6 months, and the best performing Darwin (Top 0,0024%) after 1 year for highest returns.
Darwinex now has enough information to give the QAJ Darwin scores on each of the 12 investable attributes seen in the screenshot below. It has scored very well after the first month, receiving 9+/10 in 4 categories, with 6,6/10 being the lowest score of the 10 applicable attributes. The first attribute, Experience (Ex) can only improve over 24 months and with constant trading, so this will develop over time. The last attribute, Capacity (Cp), measures the ability of the Darwin to accommodate more investment capital with the least divergence between the trader and the Investor. Since we can only have Investors from Monday, this score will still be zero.
The 7,92% return by QAJ thus far could mean a return of close to 23,7% after 30 days for the Investor, as they have the option to gear their investment up to 3x their equity amount. They have the option to choose 1x, 1,5x or 3x when they open their account at Darwinex.
For those that still need to open an account can do so using this link . There are no charges in opening an account and you could just follow us and view our progress on the platform, or use the Demo account to play around and see how your investment would grow by investing in our (or other) Darwins. You could even create multiple demo accounts if you wish. I would strongly recommend this, so everyone could experience firsthand the benefits of having the best trading strategies in the world at your disposal for Investment.
I have updated the FAQ section on my website, so please read through this section, as it covers quite a few of the general questions being asked and with regards to opening an account.
If you have ANY questions, please feel free to mail me at perfectportfoliosa@gmail.com, or post on our Forum if you think others could benefit from your inquiry or comment.
Thank you to all those that have joined already and your support and interest thus far. Follow the Forum categories or Topics on our Forum should you wish to be updated more regularly.
I will keep everyone updated on the progress of our second Darwin, the Perfect Stocks Portfolio, which should be listing during the month of July.
Best regards and safe trading
Quintin
Morning Everyone
I have just been informed that our first Darwin QAJ is now ready for Investment.
It seems as though they have adjusted the returns to offer it at a lower risk for investors and to protect them from downside losses. I will update on this later.
The anticipation is finally over and everyone will now be able to allocate their funds to our QAJ Darwin. US Markets (In which this Darwin trades) open at 3:30 pm (GMT+2) in the afternoon, so the latest updated prices will be when the markets are open in the US.
For those that need to open an account can do so here.
After yesterday's announcement regarding the QAJ Darwin and the lower returns shown, I will explain why this is the case and that this should change going forward.
For Darwinex to be able to offer trading Strategies as an Investment option for investors, they needed to comply with certain regulations by the FCA (Financial Conduct Authority). The FCA regulates Banks, Organizations, and all Financial Advisors operating in and around UK borders. The FCA protects investors worldwide from fraudulent, non-ethical, and poor integrity policies by Financial services firms.
Darwinex has revolutionized the ability for Investors to Invest in Trading Strategies by traders. To be able to do this and comply with the FCA, Darwinex is required to protect the Investor from mismanagement or erratic trading by the trader. For this reason, they have implemented the VaR (Value at Risk) limitation to each Darwin or Trading Strategy.
This VaR (95%/month) is currently set at 6,5%. This means that 95% of the time, Investors will not lose more than 6,5% of their investment over a 1 month period. This is a very low-risk option and is even safer than the S&P500 index. Put another way, every Darwin will typically have 1 in 20 months, where it could lose more than 6,5% of its investment capital.
My Darwin, QAJ, takes an aggressive approach (high gearing), but also has to trade with large exposures in certain stocks, because of minimum trading volumes. This and the fact that the S&P500 had an extreme 5,9% drop in a single day (11 June 2020), that has caused the portfolio to have a very big drawdown in a single day. The portfolio dropped from +17,94% to -2.43% in a single day with about 4,5 gearing. It has since recovered and in positive territory.
Although this was an extreme move, the Darwinex Risk manager identified this as a big deviation in the portfolio value during our first month. To protect future events like this for investors, Darwinex implements a VaR ratio to protect future risk for investors. This factor adjusts continually as time progresses and will always predict the likelihood of a large losing month or event by any Darwin.
For now, this factor is there to protect the Investor, which is a good thing in my opinion, although it does show lower returns currently than my underlying portfolio. This will improve as we do more trades and Investors should have the same results as my strategy over time. Another benefit is that Darwinex has also given the Investor the option to increase the risk (and the rewards) regarding their Investments. Investors have the option to use the 3x exposure on offer to increase their return to match the trading strategy and in most cases exceed the returns achieved by the underlying portfolio.
Going forward, the trading sizes will continue to improve as the funds grow, and the portfolio will be more diversified (short positions too), and thus making future deviations much more aligned with the overall growth. I will continue to strive to improve this so the VaR factor would be to the benefit of the Investor to achieve the same and better results than the underlying strategy.
Hope it makes sense, that these safety measures are in place to protect all Investors.
Have a good one
Regards
Quintin
Just a screenshot of the Demo portfolio I created on the 15th of May. It follows the same risk as the Balanced Portfolio does. It has done 20,7% thus far and is a better reflection of what to expect, as it uses a $10000 account size. Position sizes are better and it currently has 11 positions most of which most are long.
It is not always easy to pick the bottoms, as the start indicates, but over time all positions will align towards their target prices.
Morning Everyone
Some good news regarding our QAJ Darwin (Perfect Aggressive Portfolio), and our soon to be (Perfect Stocks Portfolio) Darwin.
We will be increasing the trading amount on both soon, and this will ensure that the returns for the Investors will correlate much closer with the returns of the Underlying Trading Strategy.
Below are our Demo Portfolio - and QAJ (Underlying Strategies) since inception. The demo portfolio has started with $10000 which makes the minimum trade sizes perfect for our Share Selection Program. It has done 24,49% over the 2 months since started and still boasts a 100% winning trade record.
The QAJ has 77,78% winning trades which is close to the 80% we expect to maintain. We did have to increase the number of trades to get the Darwin listed at the start of July, which caused some premature trades to take place.
We should now get the VaR (Value at Risk) from 42% to the 15% level and ultimately to 10-12,5% where we would like to run the Aggressive Portfolio's risk.
Our Stocks Portfolio and Demo Portfolios run on Balanced Risk and should be at around 7,5-10% (VaR)
Have a good one
Hi Everyone
Just to update you all on the 2nd Darwin (Perfect Stocks Portfolio).
I have completed all the necessary trades on Monday and it is ready to be listed as QSH on the Darwinex platform. Unfortunately, Darwinex releases new Darwins on each Monday, so Investors will have to wait until Monday 27 July to be able to invest in it.
Both trading accounts will have increased trading funds at the end of this week, so Investors can expect close to the same returns and better in the future.
The demo portfolio has nearly 30% return after a little more than 2 months and still boasts a 100% profitable trade record. It has entered into 13 trades of which 4 have been closed in profit and 8 out of the current 9 positions are in profit.
Hi Everyone
It has been two weeks full of news, but a lackluster performance by the markets over this period, as most markets are moving sideways in anticipation of the Feds next move.
Well, it probably won't be much different from what they have been doing since March, and the results should create much of the same. Quantitative Easing, Lowering Interest rates, and increased lending has been driving this market upwards as the FED throws Trillions of Dollars at the market in its road to recovery.
With Interest rates and Bond Yields as low as they are, there is just one place to go, and that is equities. If they throw more money at the market, it will continue to rise. But how much further can they go?
Well, looking back at the 2008/9 Financial crisis when QE and Lowering Interest rates were used. The market (S&P500) increased by 80% from its lows over a 13 month period. These strategies were used with great success, but it was spread over a longer timeframe. The Fed obviously has seen that these measures work and have been implementing them this time around at a much faster pace than in 2009/10. For this reason, Equities not affected by the pandemic were responsible for the fast recovery in the market.
My program continues to have a bullish outlook on the Stocks I monitor, with Financials having the most negative outlook going forward.
Because of this sideways movement both our Darwins (QAJ and QSH) have not gained momentum yet over the past 2 weeks. I do like all the positions we currently hold and from a Macroeconomic standpoint, we are exposed in the right sectors, with some gold and Nasdaq Tech exposure as well.
As most of you know, my Portfolios or Darwins are managed as typical Hedge Funds, with exposures ranging from 100% to 350%. The QAJ Darwin has an aggressive approach and has higher exposure, while the QSH Darwin has a balanced approach with less exposure. As mentioned on the Forum the Darwins are not giving Investors the same returns as my Trading account and this is unfortunate, as the higher returns are what we are after. Darwinex has listed this Darwin as such a Low Risk/Low Return Investment that my Investors will only receive an 1/8 of the returns of the trading account (Underlying Strategy). And with the 3x gearing they will receive about 36% of the returns made by the Underlying Strategy.
I am still working on resolving this issue for all my Investors, and hopefully, I can sort it out within the next week or two. Otherwise, I might suggest we use a pure copy trading platform to resolve this issue.
The funds in both accounts have been increased last week, to lessen exposures in certain stocks and to resolve the Investor return issue. Darwinex has also recently decreased the minimum trading lot size for Stocks to 1 share, which is a huge help with smaller stock exposures in each portfolio, and will also help to align Investor returns with the Trading Strategy. I will keep everyone posted on this.
For those that want to read more on Mean Reversion as a trading Strategy can read more on the Forum.
For those interested in learning more about Investing in Darwins must make a point to join the Webinar that Darwinex will be hosting at 7pm GMT+2(South Africa) / 6pm BST (British Summer Time) tonight.
Use this Link to register. They will be covering topics as explained below.
This is an introductory webinar for investors who are new at Darwinex.
In this webinar you'll learn:
What Darwinex is and how it works for investors
About the regulation and the solvency of the Exchange
How to buy your first DARWIN and
How to build your first demo & live portfolio
There will be a Q&A session at the end where we'd love to answer any outstanding questions.
Safe Trading and enjoy the webinar.
Quintin
Hi Everyone Since my last post regarding the reduced return that Investors are getting in comparison to my main trading strategy, I have shifted my focus completely in resolving this issue. After researching and testing quite a few changes over the past 8 weeks, I am finally satisfied with the changes and the way forward. Without going into too much detail, Investor returns at Darwinex are mainly influenced by Volatility, Drawdown, Value at Risk (VaR), and regulated by their risk managing program. Addressing each issue meant that I had to incorporate Volatility into my program with trading selections and timing of trades. I had to reduce the exposures quite considerably and decided to add new Portfolios (Darwins) specifically designed to achieve minimum drawdown and giving the highest future returns for Investors. I have also added the 12 most liquid Forex trading pairs to my program, as these do give better returns with the risk set out by Darwinex. For the reasons above, I have added 1 new Stock Portfolio and 4 New Forex/Index Portfolios for Investors to Invest in, all with varying degrees of exposure. In the past, maximum exposures ranged from 200% to 350%, but it has now changed to vary from 35% to 200%. With these changes, Investors will now receive superior returns to the main trading strategy in most cases, which is exactly what I envisioned. With all the different portfolios, Investors will also have the ability to diversify into more asset classes by Investing in Indexes, Forex, Commodities, and Stocks, all through the Next Level Share Selection Program. I will go into more detail regarding each portfolio (Darwin), as well as suggestions for which should give the highest returns, in a future post and on the changes made to my program. Currently there are 8 portfolios I manage, of which 4 are already available for Investing, 2 Stock Darwins (QSH and QAJ), and 2 Forex Darwins ( QWB and QMW). The 2 Forex Darwins has done exceptionally well, doing 4% and 5,97% over the past 30 days and the Stock Darwins achieved 0,11% and -0,22% over the same period. Returns by the Stock Darwins will improve as I am still reducing the risk profile on these. (More detail on this in a future post)
Investors have the option to use the 3x gearing available on the Darwinex platform, which could give between 12-18% return when Invested in the Forex Darwins over 30 days. With the current risk profile, I expect to do between 1 to 4,5% on a monthly basis, with Investor returns between 3 to 13,5%. The 6% done by QMW over the past 30 days should be seen as an exceptional result, rather than the normal range. The past 2 months might be seen as one step forward and 2 steps back, but it has made me take a much deeper look into the risk of all the asset classes and reduce downside risk through improved metrics. I am excited to have the next 4 portfolios (Darwins) roll out over the next 4 weeks and will keep everyone updated. Through all 8 portfolios, 104 trades were done to date, with 84 trades in profit. This gives an 80,76% winning trade percentage. This is up there with the highest of all the Darwinex traders. I expect to improve this to above 85% going forward. Another interesting aspect of our Darwin portfolios is their estimated Capacity. The current 4 listed Darwins could facilitate total investments of $34mil and even up to $230mil (QMW), without affecting the returns of Investors. This is made possible due to our positions being held in longer time periods and more quality trades rather than quantity. Over the last few weeks, my program has picked up that the dollar has weakened against most currencies since its earlier highs in March/April. We are currently near testing levels for most currencies, so this is a good opportunity to buy Dollars. I will also be utilizing this opportunity through my 2 Forex Darwins, so if you want to benefit from a strengthening Dollar by adding to your Darwinex account, as well as Investing in our Forex Darwin, it could have a major effect on your Capital. I do still expect the Rand to weaken against the Dollar to R21-80 (upper limit) over the next 12-18 months. We could re-test the R16-30 level, which is currently the lower end of our trading range. We did bounce strongly off this level on the 21st of September. For those that want to open a Darwinex dollar-based account, can do so through this link or if you want to know more about how my program does trading selections, visit the website here. For more information on the safety and security of your money on Darwinex, read here, and other information here. All the best and safe trading for everyone. Quintin
Hi all Investors/ Traders
It's been a while since my last update, and quite a lot has happened since then, which I will share in this update. Firstly I would like to wish everyone a joyous and prosperous 2021 and wish you only create happy memories with your family and those near and dear to you. It has, and still is challenging times, and my condolences to anyone who has suffered losses or otherwise due to this pandemic.
In my previous update, my main concern was to increase returns for Investors through my Darwins to give everyone the same return (or better) than what my own accounts are doing. For this reason, my focus was firstly on my 4 Stock Darwins. For those that don't know, a Darwin is an asset, about the same as a share/stock on the Stock Exchange. It also has a 3 letter ticker name as most Stocks on the Stock Exchange have. My 4 stock Darwins, QCD, QSY, QSH, and QAJ, each represents different strategies for trading S&P500 stocks on the NYSE, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones. When you buy into one of these "Darwins" it mimics my trades in proportion to my original account with some risk adjustments that Darwinex implements to comply with FCA regulation and to offer Investors 1 Million British Pound insurance on mismanagement of your funds, should it occur.
There are about 3600 Darwins, and 3000 of them are traded on the Darwin Exchange, which represents trading strategies by the best traders in the world.
Anyway ........ a little of the topic there ......... After crunching some numbers, I soon came to realize that my longer-term buy-and-hold portfolio strategy does not work well on the Darwinex platform. Holding a share through ups and downs to get to a target price over time is seen as more risk by Darwinex (especially with high volatility), and they reduce the risk to Investors, and hence Investors will only have 10-15% risk , and also just receive about 10-15% of the reward.
The aim was to hold premium stocks (selected through the NLSSP), but for shorter periods and to hold them during the up periods, rather than the down periods. This was easier said than done and was the start of the craziest 3 months I had experienced in a long time.
It meant I would have to do about 4 times as many trades on 8 different accounts across just about all asset classes on the stock exchange. I felt like a cracked egg.....about to lose my yolk!
Although I am Old-School and not fond of changing things that work, in this case, I knew I had to get Trading Robots to do the trading.
At the beginning of December, I implemented an EA (Trading Robot) on the 4 Stock Darwins.
The backtest results were good, but it had to be implemented in real time. Currently, for Stock Darwins over the past month, we hold 4 out of the top5 spots (1st,2nd,4th and 5th), with QSY topping the list at 6.04% return over the past month. (See below)
For Stock Darwins over the past 3 months, we have 3 of the Top 4 spots (1st, 2nd and 4th) with QCD topping the list at 10,24%.
I am pleased with the results thus far as QCD also has the Nr1 spot for StockDarwins over the past 6 months, although it is only in its 4th month of trading. It's still early days though.
These returns are at lower-risk levels set by Darwinex and Investors have the option to use the 2x or 3x gearing available on the Darwinex platform depending on their risk appetite. This would for instance change the returns of QSY to 23.4% over 3 months if the 3x gearing were used.
So after launching the 4 Stock Darwins in December I focused on the 4 Forex Darwins. I have launched QXR first on the 8th of Jan (2.18% up) and the rest on the 14th of Jan (between -0.38% to +0.27%). These are still way too early to make assessments, but the backtesting shows that it should outperform the Stock Darwins by about 50%.
That is about all the updates I have, and I will keep everyone posted on the progress going forward.
Einstein referred to compound interest as the 8th Wonder of the World (more in this 4:30min video). Applying compound interest on a monthly basis and adding gearing to that, is growth that is kinda difficult to comprehend. I have attached a spreadsheet to give you an idea of what this would look like. Just change the values in the yellow-colored boxes.
Thank you for everyone's patients and best wishes over the past few months. All the best and safe trading. Regards Quintin
More details on joining Darwinex, Darwins, viewing privileges, and other topics below:
Those that want to open a Darwinex account, can do so through this link (Even for a demo-account to test how it works). For more information on Investing in Darwins read the website FAQ or the Forum or here. You can download the Darwinex app, from Google Play Store on your phone after you have registered to monitor your Demo or Real portfolio live.
If there are any large fund houses that are interested in investing in, or having viewing access to one of my Darwins, the options can be explored. I will only be able to do a limited number of these in the short-term future.
For those wanting to invest in any one or more of my Darwins, I would suggest QSH, QSY, or QCD in the Stocks Darwins and QXS or QXR as a Forex Darwin to start with. They are currently offering the best benefit to Investors.
For those wanting to see what trades and positions I have, I have lifted the privacy settings on QXR and QCD. Everyone will be able to see the current positions and the closed positions and the time period that positions were held for.
Hi Everyone
For those interested in Investing in the best 3000 traders in the world on the Darwinex Exchange. I have made a list of the Elite Traders on the Darwinex Platform and their Darwins (Trading Strategies). I have sorted them according to the edge they have and give some insights as to their strategy.
There are other Darwins that also have a large edge (that are not on this list), but they are probably not on here because of higher drawdowns. I am not only about High Returns, but low risk (Low Drawdowns) is key. My stomach is not built for large downswings anymore and I stay clear of Darwins with a track record of larger downswings.
I have ranked them purely on the edge they have in the market. Having an edge is the key consideration in determining if a Darwin will continue to make a profit in the future. These ratings are based on the statistical chance that a trader has in giving positive returns in the future as well as the % the trader can expect to make per trade being done. I explain this in more detail at the end of this post.
There are also other factors to consider when selecting Darwins for your Portfolio, but this is by far the number 1 criteria in selecting the best trader.
In the table below. 0% would mean it would have no long-term edge. For 0% to 40% it would have a slight edge in the market and above 40% would indicate a strong edge in the market.
For safety reasons I consider values above 40% to be sure of an edge. Although these I have selected between 0%-40% have a marginal edge, they have other characteristics that are Investment worthy.
I will add some more reviews on popular Invested Darwins in a later post.
Safe trading
Quintin
More on how the Edge by traders are calculated
These values of HXD 392% and QXS 388% are based on the statistical chance that it will have to give positive returns in the future as well as the % profit the trader can expect to make per trade being done. Let's say a trader has a 60% profitable trading record with say 10 pips made on profitable trades and 10 pips loss on losing trades. After 100 trades we can expect him to have made 600 pips profit (60x10) and 400 pips in losses (40x10), giving him a 200 pip profit. the Ratio of profitable trades over losing trades is 600/400, which would give 1,5 or 50% edge. The value I use is weighted over a 1 year period and has a larger weighting to the latest results, thus identifying if a strategy is losing its edge or gaining. HXD has done 81,48% Profitable trades @ 29.61 pips avg. 18,52% were losing trades @ 30.04 pips avg over the last 3 months. This means that (29.61 x 0.8148) / (30.04 x 0.1852) = 4.33 Which would mean profitable trades are 4.33 times larger than losing trades. This means it has an edge of 333%. Because it did even better over the last month, this has improved this value further to 393%, which is outstanding results. YUH is even more impressive and ZGR is off the charts, which I put a 1000% cap on. Crazy!!
More details on joining Darwinex, Darwins, viewing privileges, and other topics below:
Those that want to open a Darwinex account, can do so through this link (Even for a demo-account to test how it works). For more information on Investing in Darwins read more here or visit the website FAQ or the Forum. You can also download the Darwinex app, from Google Play Store on your phone after you have registered to monitor your portfolio live.
Those that want to read more about Darwins as well as other trading topics, can also have a look at the Trade2Win Forum where we discuss this in more depth. (The link is below) https://www.trade2win.com/categories/darwinex-forum.372/
Since my previous post, I have expanded on the selection process of Darwins for portfolios on the Darwinex platform. I have compiled 20 Portfolios according to different kinds of selection criteria and various degrees of stringency for selection.
The Diamond Portfolios are selected from 30 of the best Darwins in different categories. The selection criteria are based on a large amount of data over the past year to identify which has the best Return to Risk ratio, the ones that have a true edge, and which will have the highest performance with the Darwinex Risk manager.
Below, the first column shows the return for the 2 weeks of February, and the next column is the returns for the year to date.
The Platinum portfolios use the 10 best Darwins and implement Dynamic weighting to optimize exposures. These are a selection of the premium Darwin strategies available for investment.
The Titanium Portfolios only uses the 5 best on the Darwinex platform. These are the World Champion of Darwins and meet all the criteria to the highest standard and exceeds them. I have identified these strategies as trading with a substantial edge in the market and exploiting their returns for investors to the maximum through the Darwinex Risk Manager, giving the highest returns with very low-risk levels.
January portfolios did 8% to 12,8% and the February selections have already done between 3,5% to 9,7% for the first 2 weeks. No losses on any of the portfolios.
I have posted the data on the Trade2Win Forum but I have removed it, as I will only be sharing the Diamond portfolio selections with members on my mailing list. The Gold, Platinum, and Titanium Portfolios will only be available for paid subscribers in the future.
Unfortunately, my Darwins have not made any of the portfolios this month, but they will make the list with a longer track record and improvement on the selection criteria in the weeks/months to come. I can not promote my own if I know there are better Darwins available for Investors.
I have also moved some of my funds into a live portfolio account on Thursday evening and I am using Titanium 4 selections. I will update on this and keep everyone posted on any changes. Below is a screenshot of the chart since Thursday.
It is a lot of work to process all the data, but I will provide the Diamond Portfolio for free over the next 2 months to everyone on the mailing list and I will try to post updates at least every 2nd week. See the Diamond Portfolio selections in the file attached. (Mailing List only)
All the best
Quintin
For those wanting to have access to the Gold and Platinum Portfolios. There is an introductory offer of $60 or R600(South Africans only) for 6 months of Platinum Membership and updates on Platinum portfolios over this period. Only available for the first 10 people. Mail me should you need more information. Gold, Platinum, and Titanium membership will be available at $20, $25, and $30 per month in the future. (The idea is that Members will have access to different privacy pages on my website in the future, but updates will be done via Mail until then)
More details on joining Darwinex, Darwins, viewing privileges, and other topics below: Those that want to open a Darwinex account, can do so through this link (Even for a demo account to test a portfolio ). For more information on Investing in Darwins read more here or visit the website FAQ or the Forum. You can also download the Darwinex app, from Google Play Store on your phone after you have registered to monitor your live or Demo portfolio.
I thought I would add the weekly figures for the portfolios so you can have a better idea of the volatility when running your own portfolio. (see below).
Hope it helps
By joining Darwinex you can invest in the best traders in the World, but there are pitfalls. Sifting through the 1000's of traders, and there are many with "lucky" track records. Most Investors struggle to find consistently profitable traders, and these traders are very difficult to find between the lucky ones. I have compiled a list of about 32 of the best traders on the Darwinex platform which could help with your decisions (they are updated regularly). For some free guidance, follow our Diamond Portfolios. They are compiled from the list of 32 of the best Traders on the Darwinex platform and each portfolio selects the 10 best in each category. Our Gold, Platinum, and ultimately, our Titanium Portfolios use an even more stringent selection process and ultimately selects only the best of the Best traders to Invest in. It is a lot of work to screen, sort, and analyze the data for our Gold, Platinum, or Titanium Portfolios and membership for each do cost $20, $25, and $30 per month for each respectively. (min 6-month membership)
Getting Platinum membership nearly for free, you can join with our introductory offer of $10 or R100(South Africans only) per month (min 6 months) for Platinum Membership and updates on all portfolios up to Platinum over this period. Only available for the first 10 people. Mail me should you need more information.
But if it does not make sense to pay extra for the higher returns, stick to the Diamond portfolios (it's free) or make your own selections. (Please do not view this as financial advice, but from someone that have lost money and paid school fees in this regard. I have also studied Darwins extensively and know the mechanics behind the trading and Investor returns) Also read our disclaimer below regarding financial advice.
Those that want to open a Darwinex account, can do so through this link (Even for a demo account to test a portfolio of your choice). For more information on Investing in Darwins read more here or visit the website FAQ or the Forum. You can also download the Darwinex app, from Google Play Store on your phone after you have registered to monitor your live or Demo portfolio.
All the best
Q